Mirra Andreeva vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Who has the upper hand when it comes to the second serve? Over the past six months, Rybakina has demonstrated an edge in second serve performance, winning 44.21% of points compared to Andreeva’s 42.74%. Historically, second serve proficiency has been a strong indicator of a player's likelihood to win a match. Will this slight advantage for Rybakina translate into a victory, or can Andreeva find ways to outperform under these conditions?

When examining return games, we see another interesting comparison. Rybakina has outperformed Andreeva in recent matchups, winning 49.63% of second serve return points compared to Andreeva’s 48.59%. However, Andreeva takes the lead with first serve return points at 30.47%, outmatching Rybakina’s 26.31%. This statistic may be a key factor in determining the favorite for their upcoming duel. When it comes to saving breakpoints, Rybakina again holds an edge, having saved 54.88% compared to Andreeva’s 44.4%—an important metric for match predictions, especially in live betting.

Let’s dive into their overall performance over the last year. Rybakina has a slight advantage in match wins, with a win rate of 75.93% (41/13), while Andreeva isn't far behind at 74.14% (43/15). Both players have spent considerable time competing in the Masters series, with Rybakina securing wins in 70.83% of her matches and Andreeva holding a higher win rate of 76.92%. This suggests Andreeva may be better suited for high-stakes games on this level, but will it be enough to claim victory?

In terms of surface preferences, Rybakina thrives on grass, boasting a 75% win rate, whereas clay is Andreeva’s fortress with an impressive 81% win rate. Each player's weakest surface provides another layer of intrigue in anticipating their performance in diverse playing conditions. Should this match extend to a deciding set, historical data reveals that Andreeva has the upper hand, winning 67% of deciding sets in the past year, compared to Rybakina’s 62%.

Head-to-head meetings between these players show a neck-and-neck rivalry. With each claiming one victory in past encounters, the series is evenly poised. Their last clash at the Dubai Duty Free Championships saw Andreeva emerge victorious in a close contest. Yet, how will previous face-offs, with an average duration of over two hours, inform the outcome this time? As for extreme pressure, neither player has seen action in tiebreaks against each other thus far, adding a layer of unpredictability.

Finally, consider opponent quality. Over the last year, Rybakina's adversaries have had an average rank of 52.94, compared to Andreeva's at 56.69. This stat suggests slightly tougher competition faced by Rybakina, yet how will this translate when they meet on the court? With each having an aspect in which she excels, both likely have game plans to capitalize on the other's slight weaknesses. If I were to predict, I’d give a slight edge to Rybakina based on recent form and her greater success in saving breakpoints, yet the match holds promise of thrilling unpredictability.